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Red22
199710.6
9386.7
34855.3
Blue18
39286.9
9375.1
198515.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182401030405060702218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
Unranked
10.60.2
9.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1985
Unranked
15.00.3
15.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
938
Unranked
6.70.2
3.84.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3928
Unranked
6.90.3
8.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3485
Unranked
5.30.2
4.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
937
Unranked
5.10.4
1.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End