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Red40
24109.1
234513.7
19397.4
Blue21
17235.5
33974.6
171011.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23210103040504021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2345
Unranked
13.70.8
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1710
Unranked
11.30.0
10.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2410
Unranked
9.10.8
5.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1723
Unranked
5.50.0
6.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1939
Unranked
7.40.8
6.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3397
Unranked
4.60.0
4.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End