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Red8
23533.3
38627.0
198214.9
Blue13
36128.2
18107.4
198713.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182801040506070813

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
Unranked
14.90.6
11.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1987
Unranked
13.30.8
14.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3862
Unranked
7.00.5
4.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3612
Unranked
8.20.8
6.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2353
Unranked
3.30.6
2.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1810
Unranked
7.40.8
7.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End