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Red29
328410.6
9386.7
28746.1
Blue39
173013.6
33974.6
234513.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231010405060702939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
Unranked
10.60.3
10.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2345
Unranked
13.70.4
13.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
938
Unranked
6.70.3
6.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1730
Unranked
13.60.4
13.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2874
Unranked
6.10.3
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3397
Unranked
4.60.4
4.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End