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Red20
23533.3
37846.1
19397.4
Blue17
19940.7
38627.0
198713.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1622010304050602017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
Unranked
7.40.2
7.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1987
Unranked
13.30.2
13.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3784
Unranked
6.10.2
5.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3862
Unranked
7.00.2
7.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2353
Unranked
3.30.2
3.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1994
Unranked
0.70.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End