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Red11
4568.0
40761.2
284814.8
Blue14
142111.9
16421.9
44014.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22160103040501114

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#10
14.80.6
13.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
11.90.1
10.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
456
#12
8.00.6
7.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4401
#28
4.30.2
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4076
#32
1.21.0
1.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1642
#36
1.90.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End