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Red18
246811.1
38476.3
33052.8
Blue15
40454.5
43173.0
331013.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161401020304050601815

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.10.1
9.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
13.40.1
8.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.30.2
6.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4045
#15
4.50.1
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3305
#31
2.80.2
-0.5-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4317
#18
3.00.1
2.93.0
Auto
Teleop
End