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Red21
32822.8
142916.6
3043-1.1
Blue0
36796.5
37911.4
37356.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139020406080100210

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.5
9.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
3679
#16
6.50.7
2.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3282
#23
2.80.5
2.83.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3735
#17
6.20.7
4.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3043
#33
-1.10.5
3.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3791
#37
1.40.7
2.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End