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Red27
43173.0
284814.8
129613.7
Blue4
246811.1
42065.2
41927.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2616010203040506070274

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#10
14.80.0
13.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
11.10.7
9.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.70.1
9.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
7.35.6
7.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4317
#18
3.00.2
3.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
4206
#22
5.25.2
7.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End