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Red10
42591.4
6472.7
33706.5
Blue0
3961-0.7
3795-0.1
41384.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9601520253035100

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3370
#13
6.50.0
5.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
4.80.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
#15
2.70.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3795
#29
-0.10.4
0.90.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4259
#18
1.40.0
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3961
#39
-0.70.3
-0.2-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End