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Red40
253012.9
25265.2
31023.6
Blue10
21775.4
38407.0
42285.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121210152025354010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#18
12.92.4
7.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
7.00.2
3.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2526
#23
5.22.4
2.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4228
#17
5.50.2
4.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3102
#42
3.62.4
1.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2177
#52
5.40.2
5.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End