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Red6
22209.3
33122.4
30562.7
Blue17
37557.2
24993.4
31308.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81105152025303540617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#15
9.30.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3130
#13
8.30.5
6.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3056
#32
2.70.3
2.72.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
7.20.5
1.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3312
#56
2.40.3
2.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2499
#48
3.40.5
3.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End