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Red10
35597.0
38653.9
42726.8
Blue13
31477.0
29093.2
394710.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161605102025301013

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3559
#25
7.00.5
7.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
10.40.3
7.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.80.5
4.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3147
#17
7.00.3
6.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3865
#10
3.90.5
4.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2909
#30
3.20.3
3.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End