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Red9
150112.8
10184.9
35654.5
Blue16
13510.7
16465.9
42116.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20150510253035916

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.80.6
10.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
135
#6
10.70.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
#32
4.90.9
5.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
6.20.0
5.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3565
#11
4.50.9
4.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1646
#33
5.90.0
2.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End