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Red23
36583.5
40045.5
90413.6
Blue59
38757.5
205420.4
171816.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12250203040502359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#22
13.60.5
10.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
20.42.5
13.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4004
#15
5.50.5
3.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
16.32.5
11.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3658
#19
3.50.5
-1.5-0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3875
#23
7.51.5
4.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End