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Red3
191816.4
200012.7
34581.6
Blue22
36035.1
36405.7
40038.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612020304050322

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.41.1
14.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
4003
#17
8.30.5
6.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2000
#10
12.71.1
7.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3640
#16
5.70.8
2.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3458
#34
1.61.9
3.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3603
#36
5.10.5
3.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End