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Red6
22454.6
258610.7
43273.9
Blue15
8518.5
276711.4
207511.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172901020405060615

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.70.5
10.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
85
#12
18.50.7
13.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2245
#21
4.60.5
1.40.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2075
#13
11.40.7
7.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4327
#35
3.90.5
4.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
2767
#14
11.40.7
7.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End