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Red18
35093.4
35469.4
20007.4
Blue4
24051.9
43625.6
29598.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1412051020253035184

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.40.3
4.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2959
#21
8.70.7
6.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2000
#13
7.40.3
7.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4362
#11
5.60.7
3.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3509
#25
3.40.3
3.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2405
#35
1.90.7
2.41.7
Auto
Teleop
End