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Red15
34525.3
12542.2
44082.9
Blue14
16774.8
19403.6
43810.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions910051520253035401514

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#19
5.30.5
3.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1677
#16
4.80.3
4.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4408
#30
2.90.5
3.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1940
#23
3.60.3
3.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1254
#17
2.20.5
2.12.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4381
#36
0.70.3
2.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End