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Red48
29022.7
212226.0
71415.8
Blue42
11269.2
264012.7
48822.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374102060804842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.5
23.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
488
#64
22.10.0
22.522.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
714
#18
15.80.5
12.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2640
#14
12.70.0
9.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2902
#62
2.70.5
2.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1126
#81
9.20.0
9.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End