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Red14
363013.3
350412.6
20596.8
Blue43
55511.4
17519.5
31764.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273101020405060701443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#23
13.30.9
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
175
#34
19.50.6
17.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3504
#70
12.60.7
8.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
555
#46
11.40.6
9.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2059
#85
6.80.7
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3176
#74
4.20.6
3.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End