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Red36
1117.5
40866.8
35665.1
Blue33
32554.9
20596.8
166222.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223201040506070803633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#4
17.50.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
22.40.0
20.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4086
#67
6.80.7
5.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2059
#85
6.80.0
6.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3566
#84
5.10.7
4.04.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3255
#79
4.90.0
5.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End