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Red16
151911.5
34512.8
33238.2
Blue0
13074.7
17213.0
10584.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131305101520253035160

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#11
11.50.2
6.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1307
#32
4.71.0
3.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3323
#17
8.20.2
3.94.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1058
#43
4.61.0
6.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3451
#41
2.80.2
2.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1721
#47
3.01.0
2.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End