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Red22
12475.8
88510.6
15473.8
Blue53
346712.1
31910.0
1576.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13190103040502253

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#19
10.60.8
5.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
12.12.9
8.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1247
#42
5.80.8
3.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
319
#10
10.02.9
5.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1547
#20
3.80.8
4.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
157
#26
6.72.9
4.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End