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Red9
21915.8
164012.9
31675.4
Blue41
41287.3
139110.6
48410.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172301020304050941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#11
12.90.5
10.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1391
#22
10.60.9
7.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2191
#10
5.80.5
3.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
484
#13
10.60.9
10.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3167
#29
5.40.5
3.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4128
#26
7.30.9
4.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End