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Red50
24956.7
36524.4
218016.5
Blue12
164710.8
2032.0
48410.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372702060805012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
24.40.6
18.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
1647
#12
10.80.8
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.50.6
13.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
484
#13
10.60.8
11.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2495
#37
6.70.6
4.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
203
#33
2.00.8
4.84.0
Auto
Teleop
End