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Red31
30002.5
33018.8
394016.5
Blue45
40705.7
313818.6
4825.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26460204060803145

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#41
16.50.3
13.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
48
#4
25.80.1
23.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3301
#49
8.80.5
7.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
18.60.1
17.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3000
#51
2.50.5
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
4070
#29
5.70.1
5.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End