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Red39
219916.2
394510.5
42751.8
Blue22
43306.9
127010.2
14666.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232204060801003922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#26
16.20.8
16.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1270
#18
10.20.0
8.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3945
#13
10.51.3
6.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1466
#37
6.90.0
7.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4275
#56
1.81.3
0.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
4330
#34
6.90.0
6.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End