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Red60
42494.7
201311.7
205637.0
Blue9
39334.5
12466.0
42585.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48100203040607080609

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.6
34.435.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.0
1246
#21
6.00.1
5.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2013
#18
11.70.6
10.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
4258
#43
5.83.2
5.82.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4249
#31
4.71.0
3.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3933
#48
4.51.9
4.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End