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Red36
9194.4
18462.7
35604.7
Blue4
42503.3
43575.1
18351.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89051520253035364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3560
#20
4.72.3
3.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4357
#10
5.12.8
5.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
919
#40
4.42.3
2.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4250
#44
3.31.0
3.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1846
#50
2.71.5
2.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1835
#28
1.70.4
3.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End