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Red10
238614.2
42494.7
4308-1.0
Blue20
10757.5
400111.4
43675.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181103040501020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#15
14.20.5
13.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4001
#14
11.40.7
3.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4249
#31
4.70.7
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1075
#35
7.50.4
6.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4308
#55
-1.00.7
0.70.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
4367
#17
5.50.7
1.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End