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Red6
21856.8
18351.7
22007.9
Blue34
18822.1
29352.9
37058.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142601020304050634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#49
7.90.5
3.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
188
#4
22.10.5
20.320.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2185
#42
6.80.4
8.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3705
#11
8.20.5
3.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1835
#28
1.70.7
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2935
#22
2.90.8
0.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End