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Red38
7536.7
38125.5
255715.3
Blue37
20937.4
27337.0
17009.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27220103040503837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.2
15.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1700
#12
9.10.3
8.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
753
#18
6.70.2
6.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2093
#15
7.40.3
7.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.50.3
5.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
7.00.3
6.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End