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Red44
38125.5
7536.7
255715.3
Blue25
20937.4
17009.1
27337.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823010204050604425

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.4
15.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1700
#12
9.10.0
9.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
753
#18
6.70.4
6.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2093
#15
7.40.0
7.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.50.4
5.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End