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Red3
38125.5
21307.3
25500.7
Blue0
40575.9
25423.9
8473.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151705102025303530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.30.9
6.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4057
#11
5.91.2
7.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.50.9
6.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2542
#41
3.91.3
5.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2550
#63
0.70.9
1.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
847
#20
3.51.3
4.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End