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Red8
9551.7
29905.4
20026.6
Blue25
8412.3
42575.9
24438.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16130510202530825

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2002
#14
6.60.6
7.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
2443
#30
8.80.9
6.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2990
#37
5.40.6
6.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4257
#29
5.91.0
4.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
955
#64
1.70.6
2.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
841
#46
2.31.0
1.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End