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Red32
34136.2
4335.5
31424.1
Blue11
139113.5
22219.6
22413.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4742102030607080903211

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
36.20.8
33.132.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
222
#15
19.61.6
20.719.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
433
#31
5.50.8
8.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1391
#17
13.51.6
9.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3142
#47
4.10.8
5.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
224
#27
13.41.6
12.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End