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Red49
22219.6
27215.9
16722.8
Blue47
48414.6
223410.4
22413.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333001020405060704947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#15
19.60.8
18.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
484
#9
14.60.8
11.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
#5
15.90.8
11.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
224
#27
13.40.8
11.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1672
#52
2.80.8
2.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
2234
#50
10.40.8
6.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End