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Red90
121821.8
164011.2
34126.2
Blue47
7087.5
35712.5
201614.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563302040809047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
26.20.6
25.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
14.20.3
14.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.80.5
21.221.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
357
#5
12.50.2
12.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#27
11.20.7
10.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
708
#34
7.50.2
7.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End