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Red31
36516.5
25593.3
22511.8
Blue9
48410.0
83411.5
40350.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323101520253035319

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#12
16.50.5
12.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
834
#7
11.50.7
9.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
#6
11.80.3
10.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
484
#13
10.01.1
10.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2559
#28
3.30.5
0.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4035
#29
0.61.1
3.32.1
Auto
Teleop
End