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Red20
15516.4
216820.0
11266.1
Blue14
13346.9
1452.2
30446.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4422060801002014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
20.01.2
25.724.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3044
Unranked
6.90.4
7.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1551
Unranked
6.41.2
9.38.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1334
Unranked
6.90.4
9.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1126
Unranked
6.11.2
9.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
145
Unranked
2.20.4
4.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End