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Red15
18818.0
41242.5
151113.3
Blue27
61024.6
301513.2
31814.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452030405060701527

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
18.01.5
22.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
610
Unranked
24.60.9
24.623.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1511
Unranked
13.31.5
17.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3015
Unranked
13.20.9
15.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4124
Unranked
2.51.5
5.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3181
Unranked
4.80.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End