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Red25
34752.4
275113.8
13980.7
Blue6
28157.4
42617.1
12256.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411020304050256

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.80.6
10.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2815
#17
7.40.4
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3475
#39
2.40.9
1.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
7.10.5
1.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#41
0.70.9
1.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1225
#30
6.10.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End