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Red10
3379.5
40754.3
10515.2
Blue2
4151.8
42431.4
40745.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177010203040102

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#25
9.50.4
7.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
4074
#40
5.00.4
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1051
#31
5.20.6
5.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
415
#21
1.80.3
0.90.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4075
#24
4.30.6
3.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4243
#27
1.40.4
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End