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Red6
31283.5
40143.7
23395.5
Blue10
41619.7
40566.7
39658.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11160203040610

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#33
5.50.4
3.73.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
9.70.5
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4014
#40
3.70.4
4.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
3965
#17
8.80.5
6.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3128
#36
3.50.4
3.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4056
#16
6.70.5
5.65.2
Auto
Teleop
End