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Red18
42766.6
38492.7
25439.5
Blue0
33286.7
24933.6
41173.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141305102025180

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#20
9.50.4
7.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3328
#23
6.71.0
5.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4276
#12
6.60.4
4.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4117
#56
3.81.0
3.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3849
#24
2.70.4
1.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2493
#25
3.61.0
2.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End