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Red9
10010.4
34825.0
40866.9
Blue57
97121.9
153818.5
5813.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1832010405060957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#18
10.40.4
8.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
971
#1
21.91.2
16.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4086
#35
6.90.7
3.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
18.51.2
13.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3482
#39
5.00.7
5.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
581
#28
3.21.2
3.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End