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Red4
34582.3
11894.6
36407.0
Blue29
207512.6
12542.6
277110.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131803040506070429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3640
#39
7.00.4
5.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2075
#21
12.60.6
11.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1189
#35
4.60.4
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
2771
#18
10.30.6
3.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3458
#34
2.30.4
1.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1254
#19
2.60.6
2.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End