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Red8
43892.5
31413.6
35093.8
Blue16
4949.5
354711.3
5038.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19210103040506070816

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
13.60.5
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3547
#13
11.30.3
8.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3509
#41
3.80.5
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
494
#20
9.50.3
7.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4389
#29
2.50.5
0.0-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
503
#14
8.40.3
6.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End