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Red9
44003.1
147722.6
6534.5
Blue10
25852.4
43462.4
23112.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2418010304050910

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.8
20.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
231
#19
12.30.4
12.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
#35
4.50.9
1.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4346
#32
2.40.5
2.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4400
#54
3.11.3
3.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2585
#26
2.40.5
1.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End